Track Record
Complete transparency - every prediction logged and verified
LONG-ONLY12-Month Backtest
Only takes long positions on bullish signals. Safer strategy for beginners. 0 trades in test period.
Portfolio
$100k→$0k
Strategy Return
+0.0%
S&P 500
+20.6%
Alpha
+34.3%
Win Rate
0.0%
Trades
0
--%
Prediction Accuracy
Direction correct rate
--/52
Profitable Weeks
~0%/week avg
--
Sharpe Ratio
Risk-adjusted return
--%
Max Drawdown
Largest peak-to-trough
Weekly Accuracy (%)
Percentage of correct direction predictions each week
Dashed line = random chance (50%)
Portfolio vs S&P 500
Growth of $100,000 initial investment
Strategy S&P 500
Weekly Returns (%)
Individual week performance - green positive, red negative
Methodology
How Predictions Work
- Model predicts weekly price direction (UP/DOWN)
- ~360 S&P 500 stocks analyzed weekly
- ML Ensemble: XGBoost + LightGBM + RandomForest
- 40+ features: technicals, momentum, volatility
Backtest vs Live
- BACKTEST = Simulated with model accuracy
- LIVE = Actual predictions made & resolved
- Trades close at end of each week
- Entry/exit prices from Yahoo Finance
Important Disclaimers
- Backtest is simulated, not actual trades
- Returns exclude transaction costs & slippage
- Paper trading only (not real money)
- This is NOT investment advice